The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crossword - The Japanese Wife (2010

July 8, 2024, 9:11 pm
Its effects are clearly global too, inasmuch as it is part of a long "salt conveyor" current that extends through the southern oceans into the Pacific. A muddle-through scenario assumes that we would mobilize our scientific and technological resources well in advance of any abrupt cooling problem, but that the solution wouldn't be simple. It's also clear that sufficient global warming could trigger an abrupt cooling in at least two ways—by increasing high-latitude rainfall or by melting Greenland's ice, both of which could put enough fresh water into the ocean surface to suppress flushing. Meaning of 3 sheets to the wind. Recovery would be very slow. But the regional record is poorly understood, and I know at least one reason why. Another sat on Hudson's Bay, and reached as far west as the foothills of the Rocky Mountains—where it pushed, head to head, against ice coming down from the Rockies.
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Man-made global warming is likely to achieve exactly the opposite—warming Greenland and cooling the Greenland Sea. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crossword puzzle. An abrupt cooling got started 8, 200 years ago, but it aborted within a century, and the temperature changes since then have been gradual in comparison. Glaciers pushing out into the ocean usually break off in chunks. We might, for example, anchor bargeloads of evaporation-enhancing surfactants (used in the southwest corner of the Dead Sea to speed potash production) upwind from critical downwelling sites, letting winds spread them over the ocean surface all winter, just to ensure later flushing.

What could possibly halt the salt-conveyor belt that brings tropical heat so much farther north and limits the formation of ice sheets? Though combating global warming is obviously on the agenda for preventing a cold flip, we could easily be blindsided by stability problems if we allow global warming per se to remain the main focus of our climate-change efforts. For a quarter century global-warming theorists have predicted that climate creep is going to occur and that we need to prevent greenhouse gases from warming things up, thereby raising the sea level, destroying habitats, intensifying storms, and forcing agricultural rearrangements. In Broecker's view, failures of salt flushing cause a worldwide rearrangement of ocean currents, resulting in—and this is the speculative part—less evaporation from the tropics. It has been called the Nordic Seas heat pump. But we can't assume that anything like this will counteract our longer-term flurry of carbon-dioxide emissions. The sheet in 3 sheets to the wind crosswords. And in the absence of a flushing mechanism to sink cooled surface waters and send them southward in the Atlantic, additional warm waters do not flow as far north to replenish the supply. The back and forth of the ice started 2. Natural disasters such as hurricanes and earthquakes are less troubling than abrupt coolings for two reasons: they're short (the recovery period starts the next day) and they're local or regional (unaffected citizens can help the overwhelmed). Retained heat eventually melts the ice, in a cycle that recurs about every five years. One is diminished wind chill, when winds aren't as strong as usual, or as cold, or as dry—as is the case in the Labrador Sea during the North Atlantic Oscillation. When the warm currents penetrate farther than usual into the northern seas, they help to melt the sea ice that is reflecting a lot of sunlight back into space, and so the earth becomes warmer. Europe's climate, obviously, is not like that of North America or Asia at the same latitudes. What paleoclimate and oceanography researchers know of the mechanisms underlying such a climate flip suggests that global warming could start one in several different ways.

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Our civilizations began to emerge right after the continental ice sheets melted about 10, 000 years ago. That's how our warm period might end too. Another precursor is more floating ice than usual, which reduces the amount of ocean surface exposed to the winds, in turn reducing evaporation. We cannot avoid trouble by merely cutting down on our present warming trend, though that's an excellent place to start. Eventually that helps to melt ice sheets elsewhere. Though some abrupt coolings are likely to have been associated with events in the Canadian ice sheet, the abrupt cooling in the previous warm period, 122, 000 years ago, which has now been detected even in the tropics, shows that flips are not restricted to icy periods; they can also interrupt warm periods like the present one. At the same time that the Labrador Sea gets a lessening of the strong winds that aid salt sinking, Europe gets particularly cold winters. With the population crash spread out over a decade, there would be ample opportunity for civilization's institutions to be torn apart and for hatreds to build, as armies tried to grab remaining resources simply to feed the people in their own countries. The dam, known as the Isthmus of Panama, may have been what caused the ice ages to begin a short time later, simply because of the forced detour. The effects of an abrupt cold last for centuries. A slightly exaggerated version of our present know-something-do-nothing state of affairs is know-nothing-do-nothing: a reduction in science as usual, further limiting our chances of discovering a way out. There used to be a tropical shortcut, an express route from Atlantic to Pacific, but continental drift connected North America to South America about three million years ago, damming up the easy route for disposing of excess salt.

In discussing the ice ages there is a tendency to think of warm as good—and therefore of warming as better. A lake formed, rising higher and higher—up to the height of an eight-story building. By 1987 the geochemist Wallace Broecker, of Columbia University, was piecing together the paleoclimatic flip-flops with the salt-circulation story and warning that small nudges to our climate might produce "unpleasant surprises in the greenhouse. Fortunately, big parallel computers have proved useful for both global climate modeling and detailed modeling of ocean circulation. The populous parts of the United States and Canada are mostly between the latitudes of 30° and 45°, whereas the populous parts of Europe are ten to fifteen degrees farther north. Alas, further warming might well kick us out of the "high state. "

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Indeed, were another climate flip to begin next year, we'd probably complain first about the drought, along with unusually cold winters in Europe. There is another part of the world with the same good soil, within the same latitudinal band, which we can use for a quick comparison. Surprisingly, it may prove possible to prevent flip-flops in the climate—even by means of low-tech schemes. But just as vaccines and antibiotics presume much knowledge about diseases, their climatic equivalents presume much knowledge about oceans, atmospheres, and past climates. To keep a bistable system firmly in one state or the other, it should be kept away from the transition threshold. Now we know—and from an entirely different group of scientists exploring separate lines of reasoning and data—that the most catastrophic result of global warming could be an abrupt cooling.

Instead we would try one thing after another, creating a patchwork of solutions that might hold for another few decades, allowing the search for a better stabilizing mechanism to continue. When that annual flushing fails for some years, the conveyor belt stops moving and so heat stops flowing so far north—and apparently we're popped back into the low state. Huge amounts of seawater sink at known downwelling sites every winter, with the water heading south when it reaches the bottom. N. London and Paris are close to the 49°N line that, west of the Great Lakes, separates the United States from Canada. There is, increasingly, international cooperation in response to catastrophe—but no country is going to be able to rely on a stored agricultural surplus for even a year, and any country will be reluctant to give away part of its surplus. Scientists have known for some time that the previous warm period started 130, 000 years ago and ended 117, 000 years ago, with the return of cold temperatures that led to an ice age. This salty waterfall is more like thirty Amazon Rivers combined. Implementing it might cost no more, in relative terms, than building a medieval cathedral.

The Sheet In 3 Sheets To The Wind Crosswords

Large-scale flushing at both those sites is certainly a highly variable process, and perhaps a somewhat fragile one as well. But our current warm-up, which started about 15, 000 years ago, began abruptly, with the temperature rising sharply while most of the ice was still present. Any abrupt switch in climate would also disrupt food-supply routes. If blocked by ice dams, fjords make perfect reservoirs for meltwater.

Canada lacks Europe's winter warmth and rainfall, because it has no equivalent of the North Atlantic Current to preheat its eastbound weather systems. Such a conveyor is needed because the Atlantic is saltier than the Pacific (the Pacific has twice as much water with which to dilute the salt carried in from rivers). We must look at arriving sunlight and departing light and heat, not merely regional shifts on earth, to account for changes in the temperature balance. So could ice carried south out of the Arctic Ocean. Greenland's east coast has a profusion of fjords between 70°N and 80°N, including one that is the world's biggest. Light switches abruptly change mode when nudged hard enough. The U. S. Geological Survey took old lake-bed cores out of storage and re-examined them. The cold, dry winds blowing eastward off Canada evaporate the surface waters of the North Atlantic Current, and leave behind all their salt. Or divert eastern-Greenland meltwater to the less sensitive north and west coasts. The modern world is full of objects and systems that exhibit "bistable" modes, with thresholds for flipping.
This warm water then flows up the Norwegian coast, with a westward branch warming Greenland's tip, at 60°N. The only reason that two percent of our population can feed the other 98 percent is that we have a well-developed system of transportation and middlemen—but it is not very robust. A brief, large flood of fresh water might nudge us toward an abrupt cooling even if the dilution were insignificant when averaged over time. Ways to postpone such a climatic shift are conceivable, however—old-fashioned dam-and-ditch construction in critical locations might even work.

5 million years ago, which is also when the ape-sized hominid brain began to develop into a fully human one, four times as large and reorganized for language, music, and chains of inference. For Europe to be as agriculturally productive as it is (it supports more than twice the population of the United States and Canada), all those cold, dry winds that blow eastward across the North Atlantic from Canada must somehow be warmed up. Change arising from some sources, such as volcanic eruptions, can be abrupt—but the climate doesn't flip back just as quickly centuries later. I hope never to see a failure of the northernmost loop of the North Atlantic Current, because the result would be a population crash that would take much of civilization with it, all within a decade. They might not be the end of Homo sapiens—written knowledge and elementary education might well endure—but the world after such a population crash would certainly be full of despotic governments that hated their neighbors because of recent atrocities.

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