Bit Of Whistle Blowing Maybe Not Support – Standing Seam Roofers Near Me

He then got a search warrant to seize their work computers and found a copy of the letter to the medical board on one of them. And the Dems now have built a 18, 000-plus firewall in Clark, which compares favorably to the 15, 000 at the same time in 2018. Dems won Election Day in 2018, but again, Trump was president. )

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Also fuck Greenwald and Snowden; their actions show they have no problem crowning themselves as new Robespierres. Harder to predict ticket-splitters when the top race is not for president. Welcome to the longest day and the longest week. Following are some possible turnout scenarios. However, I am saying that your argument makes no sense. 6 percent margin, which, as I have told you, is below what it was the last two cycles when all was said and done. Here's what the math says: (For these simple purposes, I am ignoring what goes to none of these candidates or minor candidates. Bit of whistle-blowing, maybe Crossword Clue and Answer. So the Dems were under reg in Clark and statewide and won both the governor and Senate races. They have been pretty predictive in past cycles. Better PR trumps good journalism. As for turnout, the problem for the Ds becomes evident when you see that Clark is turning out at nearly 3 percent below its actual share of state registration.

I'll post more when I have more data or epiphanies…. If the mail comes in at a decent clip, the Dems should have a 40, 000-plus Clark firewall before voting begins Tuesday. I get the impression that he does have more material that could go out but he doesn't feel really needs to be public, as a bargaining chip. Bit of whistle blowing maybe net.org. 6d Civil rights pioneer Claudette of Montgomery. 6 points or almost 2 points above their statewide reg lead. But if the ballot counts keep shrinking…. I will wait to see if any mail gets processed later today for more accurate modeling. Seems highly unlikely that will happen his time.

Bit Of Whistle Blowing Maybe Net.Fr

One last data point for Clark: The Dems had a big weekend in 2018, and even though I don't think day to day comparisons mean that much, they then slowed at the beginning of the week and surged at the end of the second week of early voting. And if Yeager were to lose – seems about as likely as me eating a doughnut with jelly filling – that means a deep red wave is coming and we are in 22 or 21 territory. I think the Dems believe they actually can win urban indies and win Washoe — I don't think that's irrational exuberance as much as it is extracted from data. My estimates on remaining early in-person turnout range from relatively conservative - 124K - to quite expansive - 220K. The Dem mail ballot lead is 49. But our knowledge of the NSA's activities is not "entirely because of information provided to journalists by Edward Snowden" as the NYT OpEd alleges. Bit of whistle blowing maybe net.fr. That is, it's likely mail balloting will be the dominant way to vote among Democrats. Dems still lead there, but not by much (1, 700 votes) after the Repubs had their best day on Monday. Updated, 11/5/22, noon: Good morning, all who care about Nevada (I assume this is most people): The early voting in-person two-week period is over, mail can keep coming in for a week and be counted (so long as postmarked through the 8th) and signatures can actually be cured through Monday the 14th. Details: ---Clark: The firewall didn't move much on Sunday — Rs plus 1, 037 in in-person and Ds plus 1, 320 in mail. That nurse was not charged. I asked TargetSmart CEO Tom Bonier about the site's data collection methods, and here's what he told me: In general, we receive daily updates (sometimes more frequently) from states/county election offices in the form of a database of those registered voters who are recorded as having voted, whether that is a mail ballot being flagged as returned, or an early in person vote, or any other mode of early voting. 2 percent, about a half point under the Dem reg lead. Here's what I wrote on this blog four years ago at this time: The Clark lead is 10 percentage points, or 3 points below the Dems registration edge in the South.

Mrs. Mitchell typed the letter and mailed it with a separate complaint signed by a third nurse, who wrote that she had resigned because of similar concerns about Dr. Arafiles. Conspiracy nuts have been screaming this from the rooftops for years and suddenly because of Snowden they're finally listening? This is why the Dem red edge is so important and why the fact that it is 2 points lower than previous cycles could be important. The (now-post) early voting blog, 2022 –. The firewall is now at almost 8.

Bit Of Whistle Blowing Maybe Nytimes.Com

Good morning from The We Matter State. It doesn't look like that yet, but we have mails to go…. But if they are heavily going for the Repubs, as some polls show, it's carnage time for the Dems. Essentially you illustrate my original point - Americans think that America is fabulous, the rest of the world have a more nuanced view. The real question is if it ends up being that low, what will the makeup of the Election Day turnout be? In other words, 3000 deaths due to DUIs is not the same as 3000 deaths due to terrorism. It is perhaps the most famous picture of World War II. "[the program] was originally broadcast on May 15, 2007. If anyone declares victory on Election Night, considering mail can come in for four days and be cured for six days, be suspicious. Bit of whistle blowing maybe nytimes.com. Let's be conservative (especially because we don't know the rurals) and say the ceiling is 100, 000 mail ballots altogether. But Repubs also must be content that after a week, the mail is not as voluminous as 2020 and the Dem margins also are not as great. But we can have fun with numbers, can't we? I remember watching an episode of Frontline on PBS that discussed "Room 641A" [1]. 3 percent, still slightly above the Dem reg lead of 2.

So if you do midterm to midterm, Dems are holding their own. 5 percent lead statewide, which is half of what their reg lead is in the state. If you saw my turnout extrapolations, I suggested that 650, 000 after Friday's balloting would be a lot, and it looks as if that number may indeed be high. At Iwo Jima he held dying marines in his arms. That means the 21, 000 ballot Clark Dem firewall is pretty precarious, even if that translates into a 21, 000-vote lead right now, which is by no means certain. We will soon, I hope... But I'll keep tracking it. I am still not sure turnout actually gets to 1 million. Bottom line: I think the Dems have reason to be happy because these do not look at all like red wave numbers after a week.

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Will there be more D crossover to vote R than the other way around? You can see now that if the Dems don't hold their own with indies, they are going to lose unless there is substantial R base bleeding. It may not be over tonight. IT'S EASY TO MAKE DATA ENTRY ERRORS.

Further into Europe I really doubt that the average French person would want to up sticks and move to the U. I think he should run for President. This is especially true because the Democratic advantage over the GOP has dropped significantly since 2020 — it's under 3 percent statewide and under 10 percent in Clark County, as you can see below.

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